What is the current probability for "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?"?

Based on the latest on-chain trades, the current probability is: No at 88.0%, Yes at 13.0%. These odds are derived from the last traded price of each outcome token on Polymarket.

How is this Polymarket question resolved?

Polymarket questions are resolved based on real-world outcomes verified by designated resolution sources. Once resolved, YES token holders receive $1 and NO token holders receive $0 (or vice versa).

What is the 24h trading volume for this Polymarket market?

The 24-hour trading volume for this Polymarket prediction market is $5,462,440 USD, with $4,543,868 in buy flow and $918,572 in sell flow.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Created at: May 13, 2026 21:11Large trades TG Alerts

Current Odds

Live · 24h

88.0%No13.0%Yes

No0.880+$3,209,100 net

Vol $4.54MBuy $3,872,694Sell $663,594Share 83.0%

Yes0.130+$416,196 net

Vol $926.15KBuy $671,174Sell $254,978Share 17.0%

■ Buy ■ Sell · % = implied probability · Net = buy − sell (24h)

Volume$5.46MBuy$4.54MSell$918.57K

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Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0xc7…59d7 1 buys · 13 sells · 1 condition	$957.4	+100.00%	+4.35%
#2	0x08…0b32 32 buys · 115 sells · 1 condition	$23.43K	+100.00%	+3.94%
#3	0xa8…44e8 1 buys · 16 sells · 1 condition	$660.14	+100.00%	+3.67%
#4	0x54…c462 9 buys · 50 sells · 1 condition	$2.78K	+100.00%	+1.85%
#5	0x25…ef92 55 buys · 67 sells · 1 condition	$3.43K	+100.00%	+0.80%
#6	0xe2…304a 136 buys · 94 sells · 1 condition	$7.83K	+100.00%	+0.07%
#7	0xdc…dd7e 495 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#8	0xa4…4c40 63 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#9	0x7b…4991 36 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#10	0xb7…dd52 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#11	0x1b…9097 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0x30…efed 4 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0x38…4d74 11 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0x50…19de 29 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0xc6…b784 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#16	0x62…6c01 35 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#17	0x16…6f25 49 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#18	0xcc…c035 32 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#19	0x0f…7684 22 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#20	0xe7…f771 49 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%

Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0xc7…59d7 1 buys · 13 sells · 1 condition	$957.4	+100.00%	+4.35%
#2	0x08…0b32 32 buys · 115 sells · 1 condition	$23.43K	+100.00%	+3.94%
#3	0xa8…44e8 1 buys · 16 sells · 1 condition	$660.14	+100.00%	+3.67%
#4	0x54…c462 9 buys · 50 sells · 1 condition	$2.78K	+100.00%	+1.85%
#5	0x25…ef92 55 buys · 67 sells · 1 condition	$3.43K	+100.00%	+0.80%
#6	0xe2…304a 136 buys · 94 sells · 1 condition	$7.83K	+100.00%	+0.07%
#7	0xdc…dd7e 495 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#8	0xa4…4c40 63 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#9	0x7b…4991 36 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#10	0xb7…dd52 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#11	0x1b…9097 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0x30…efed 4 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0x38…4d74 11 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0x50…19de 29 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0xc6…b784 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#16	0x62…6c01 35 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#17	0x16…6f25 49 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#18	0xcc…c035 32 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#19	0x0f…7684 22 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#20	0xe7…f771 49 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Current Odds

Current Odds

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