What is the current probability for "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?"?

Based on the latest on-chain trades, the current probability is: Yes at 52.0%, No at 48.0%. These odds are derived from the last traded price of each outcome token on Polymarket.

How is this Polymarket question resolved?

Polymarket questions are resolved based on real-world outcomes verified by designated resolution sources. Once resolved, YES token holders receive $1 and NO token holders receive $0 (or vice versa).

What is the 24h trading volume for this Polymarket market?

The 24-hour trading volume for this Polymarket prediction market is $1,066,322 USD, with $924,479 in buy flow and $141,843 in sell flow.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Created at: Jun 17, 2026 23:31Large trades TG Alerts

Current Odds

Live · 24h

52.0%Yes48.0%No

Yes0.520+$427,753 net

Vol $620.56KBuy $524,158Sell $96,405Share 58.2%

No0.480+$354,883 net

Vol $445.76KBuy $400,321Sell $45,438Share 41.8%

■ Buy ■ Sell · % = implied probability · Net = buy − sell (24h)

Volume$1.07MBuy$924.48KSell$141.84K

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Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0x0e…0dc3 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$1.59K	+100.00%	+83.20%
#2	0x42…b81b 1 buys · 2 sells · 1 condition	$417.08	+100.00%	+1.27%
#3	0xf4…2ccd 1 buys · 11 sells · 1 condition	$161.99	+100.00%	+1.00%
#4	0xc8…4117 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#5	0x7b…4991 54 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#6	0x96…6825 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#7	0x58…653c 4 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#8	0xa6…316d 27 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#9	0xfb…00f8 14 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#10	0x2c…4ecc 3 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#11	0x63…7917 15 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0x05…25a1 5 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0xee…35f0 4 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0xa3…4cf2 41 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0xbf…9942 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#16	0xf3…ce1a 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#17	0xfc…9107 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#18	0x24…83cb 4 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#19	0xe1…12fe 13 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#20	0xa0…5b9a 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%

Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0x0e…0dc3 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$1.59K	+100.00%	+83.20%
#2	0x42…b81b 1 buys · 2 sells · 1 condition	$417.08	+100.00%	+1.27%
#3	0xf4…2ccd 1 buys · 11 sells · 1 condition	$161.99	+100.00%	+1.00%
#4	0xc8…4117 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#5	0x7b…4991 54 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#6	0x96…6825 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#7	0x58…653c 4 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#8	0xa6…316d 27 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#9	0xfb…00f8 14 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#10	0x2c…4ecc 3 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#11	0x63…7917 15 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0x05…25a1 5 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0xee…35f0 4 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0xa3…4cf2 41 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0xbf…9942 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#16	0xf3…ce1a 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#17	0xfc…9107 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#18	0x24…83cb 4 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#19	0xe1…12fe 13 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#20	0xa0…5b9a 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Current Odds

Current Odds

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