What is the current probability for "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?"?

Based on the latest on-chain trades, the current probability is: Yes at 2.6%, No at 97.8%. These odds are derived from the last traded price of each outcome token on Polymarket.

How is this Polymarket question resolved?

Polymarket questions are resolved based on real-world outcomes verified by designated resolution sources. Once resolved, YES token holders receive $1 and NO token holders receive $0 (or vice versa).

What is the 24h trading volume for this Polymarket market?

The 24-hour trading volume for this Polymarket prediction market is $14,306 USD, with $12,954 in buy flow and $1,352 in sell flow.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?

Created at: Sep 10, 2026 16:00Large trades TG Alerts

Current Odds

Live · 24h

97.8%No2.6%Yes

No0.978+$10,745 net

Vol $12.95KBuy $11,846Sell $1,100Share 90.5%

Yes0.026+$856 net

Vol $1.36KBuy $1,108Sell $252Share 9.5%

■ Buy ■ Sell · % = implied probability · Net = buy − sell (24h)

Volume$14.31KBuy$12.95KSell$1.35K

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Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0xdb…3965 1 buys · 7 sells · 1 condition	$6.52	+100.00%	+0.30%
#2	0x4f…9f71 2 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.34	+100.00%	+0.17%
#3	0x4e…46e1 3 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#4	0x0f…01b7 5 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#5	0x00…9ccd 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#6	0xb6…7394 3 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#7	0x97…f76a 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#8	0xdf…5585 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#9	0x74…7fcf 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#10	0xc9…48b3 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#11	0xd2…2c3a 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0xd4…0486 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0x4c…172c 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0xdc…59a7 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0x95…f108 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#16	0x76…be70 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#17	0x09…f753 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#18	0xf9…34dd 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#19	0xaa…64ba 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#20	0xcb…68fd 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%

Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0xdb…3965 1 buys · 7 sells · 1 condition	$6.52	+100.00%	+0.30%
#2	0x4f…9f71 2 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.34	+100.00%	+0.17%
#3	0x4e…46e1 3 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#4	0x0f…01b7 5 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#5	0x00…9ccd 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#6	0xb6…7394 3 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#7	0x97…f76a 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#8	0xdf…5585 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#9	0x74…7fcf 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#10	0xc9…48b3 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#11	0xd2…2c3a 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0xd4…0486 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0x4c…172c 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0xdc…59a7 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0x95…f108 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#16	0x76…be70 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#17	0x09…f753 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#18	0xf9…34dd 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#19	0xaa…64ba 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#20	0xcb…68fd 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?

Current Odds

Current Odds

Top Traders by Realized PnL

Top Traders by Realized PnL