What is the current probability for "Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?"?

Based on the latest on-chain trades, the current probability is: Yes at 24.0%, No at 76.0%. These odds are derived from the last traded price of each outcome token on Polymarket.

How is this Polymarket question resolved?

Polymarket questions are resolved based on real-world outcomes verified by designated resolution sources. Once resolved, YES token holders receive $1 and NO token holders receive $0 (or vice versa).

What is the 24h trading volume for this Polymarket market?

The 24-hour trading volume for this Polymarket prediction market is $47,516 USD, with $45,873 in buy flow and $1,643 in sell flow.

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Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?

Created at: May 11, 2026 20:04Large trades TG Alerts

Current Odds

Live · 24h

76.0%No24.0%Yes

No0.760+$33,617 net

Vol $34.28KBuy $33,951Sell $334Share 72.2%

Yes0.240+$10,614 net

Vol $13.23KBuy $11,922Sell $1,309Share 27.8%

■ Buy ■ Sell · % = implied probability · Net = buy − sell (24h)

Volume$47.52KBuy$45.87KSell$1.64K

Top Traders by Realized PnL

Realized PnL

Win rate

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Profitable Traders

0/20

Avg realized PnL

Top Traders by Realized PnL

Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0xc9…52f1 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#2	0x43…1b3d 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#3	0xa5…74bf 3 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#4	0xe0…3dcc 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#5	0x8f…7df1 24 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#6	0x32…04f9 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#7	0x39…85c3 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#8	0x28…16de 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#9	0x6e…0803 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#10	0xee…35f0 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#11	0xa8…022c 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0xde…dbde 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0xdf…c02b 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0x15…bdde 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0xad…ef24 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#16	0x7b…e4be 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#17	0x43…59d3 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#18	0x6d…b79a 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#19	0xd9…db0d 0 buys · 2 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#20	0x2b…c21b 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%