What is the current probability for "Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?"?

Based on the latest on-chain trades, the current probability is: No at 88.5%, Yes at 11.5%. These odds are derived from the last traded price of each outcome token on Polymarket.

How is this Polymarket question resolved?

Polymarket questions are resolved based on real-world outcomes verified by designated resolution sources. Once resolved, YES token holders receive $1 and NO token holders receive $0 (or vice versa).

What is the 24h trading volume for this Polymarket market?

The 24-hour trading volume for this Polymarket prediction market is $73,951 USD, with $37,020 in buy flow and $36,931 in sell flow.

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Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?

Created at: Jul 29, 2026 23:02Large trades TG Alerts

Current Odds

Live · 24h

88.5%No11.5%Yes

No0.885+$561 net

Vol $66.08KBuy $33,319Sell $32,759Share 89.4%

Yes0.115-$472 net

Vol $7.87KBuy $3,701Sell $4,172Share 10.6%

■ Buy ■ Sell · % = implied probability · Net = buy − sell (24h)

Volume$73.95KBuy$37.02KSell$36.93K

Top Traders by Realized PnL

Realized PnL

-$6.84

Win rate

+28.57%

Profitable Traders

2/10

Avg realized PnL

-$0.68

Top Traders by Realized PnL

Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0xe0…3dcc 4 buys · 6 sells · 1 condition	$480.63	+100.00%	+0.13%
#2	0xcb…ccd0 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.003193	+100.00%	0.00%
#3	0xad…ef24 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#4	0x3e…0f61 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#5	0x65…b867 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#6	0xa5…74bf 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$-68.87	0.00%	-0.01%
#7	0x67…0c35 1 buys · 2 sells · 1 condition	$-106.01	0.00%	-0.01%
#8	0x6e…0803 1 buys · 2 sells · 1 condition	$-92.68	0.00%	-0.01%
#9	0x28…16de 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$-211.98	0.00%	-0.02%
#10	0x7b…e4be 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$-7.93	0.00%	-0.44%