What is the current probability for "Will Japan win on 2026-09-09?"?

Based on the latest on-chain trades, the current probability is: No at 50.0%, Yes at 50.0%. These odds are derived from the last traded price of each outcome token on Polymarket.

How is this Polymarket question resolved?

Polymarket questions are resolved based on real-world outcomes verified by designated resolution sources. Once resolved, YES token holders receive $1 and NO token holders receive $0 (or vice versa).

What is the 24h trading volume for this Polymarket market?

The 24-hour trading volume for this Polymarket prediction market is $3,377 USD, with $3,342 in buy flow and $35 in sell flow.

Will Japan win on 2026-09-09?

Created at: Sep 4, 2026 16:39Large trades TG Alerts

Current Odds

Live · 24h

50.0%Yes50.0%No

Yes0.500+$1,660 net

Vol $1.69KBuy $1,677Sell $17Share 50.2%

No0.500+$1,648 net

Vol $1.68KBuy $1,666Sell $17Share 49.8%

■ Buy ■ Sell · % = implied probability · Net = buy − sell (24h)

Volume$3.38KBuy$3.34KSell$34.53

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Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0x3e…8a98 2 buys · 5 sells · 1 condition	$0.57	+100.00%	+0.03%
#2	0x03…52a5 3 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#3	0x82…cf16 11 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#4	0xe9…cff6 3 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#5	0x83…ac24 5 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#6	0x1b…8bea 9 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#7	0x2f…78cf 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#8	0xc4…7e0c 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#9	0x41…deed 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#10	0x9e…f882 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#11	0xd4…5f71 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0xf9…9c4c 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0x5b…d87f 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0x0b…5df4 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0x83…25b6 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#16	0x3e…c0d8 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#17	0xd1…f334 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#18	0x92…52a2 5 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#19	0x2e…b0dd 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#20	0x6f…a912 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%

Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0x3e…8a98 2 buys · 5 sells · 1 condition	$0.57	+100.00%	+0.03%
#2	0x03…52a5 3 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#3	0x82…cf16 11 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#4	0xe9…cff6 3 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#5	0x83…ac24 5 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#6	0x1b…8bea 9 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#7	0x2f…78cf 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#8	0xc4…7e0c 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#9	0x41…deed 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#10	0x9e…f882 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#11	0xd4…5f71 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0xf9…9c4c 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0x5b…d87f 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0x0b…5df4 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0x83…25b6 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#16	0x3e…c0d8 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#17	0xd1…f334 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#18	0x92…52a2 5 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#19	0x2e…b0dd 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#20	0x6f…a912 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%

Will Japan win on 2026-09-09?

Current Odds

Current Odds

Top Traders by Realized PnL

Top Traders by Realized PnL