What is the current probability for "Spread: France (-1.5)"?

Based on the latest on-chain trades, the current probability is: Ecuador at 90.0%, France at 10.0%. These odds are derived from the last traded price of each outcome token on Polymarket.

How is this Polymarket question resolved?

Polymarket questions are resolved based on real-world outcomes verified by designated resolution sources. Once resolved, YES token holders receive $1 and NO token holders receive $0 (or vice versa).

What is the 24h trading volume for this Polymarket market?

The 24-hour trading volume for this Polymarket prediction market is $3,369 USD, with $3,022 in buy flow and $347 in sell flow.

Spread: France (-1.5)

Created at: Sep 4, 2026 17:00Large trades TG Alerts

Current Odds

Live · 24h

90.0%Ecuador10.0%France

Ecuador0.900+$1,597 net

Vol $1.82KBuy $1,707Sell $110Share 53.9%

France0.100+$1,078 net

Vol $1.55KBuy $1,315Sell $237Share 46.1%

■ Buy ■ Sell · % = implied probability · Net = buy − sell (24h)

Volume$3.37KBuy$3.02KSell$346.6

Get API

Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0x6d…d294 1 buys · 10 sells · 1 condition	$71.17	+100.00%	+0.55%
#2	0x82…cf16 18 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#3	0x76…6c4e 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#4	0x92…52a2 6 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#5	0x03…52a5 13 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#6	0x34…10d2 3 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#7	0x6f…c082 7 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#8	0x16…a2fb 8 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#9	0xbf…e70e 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#10	0xd4…5f71 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#11	0xc4…7e0c 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0x42…b33f 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0x07…8d4c 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0xce…0a45 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0xf9…9c4c 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#16	0x4b…b4af 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#17	0xbe…d738 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#18	0xad…ef24 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#19	0xad…1e9f 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#20	0xa2…bb32 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%

Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0x6d…d294 1 buys · 10 sells · 1 condition	$71.17	+100.00%	+0.55%
#2	0x82…cf16 18 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#3	0x76…6c4e 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#4	0x92…52a2 6 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#5	0x03…52a5 13 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#6	0x34…10d2 3 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#7	0x6f…c082 7 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#8	0x16…a2fb 8 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#9	0xbf…e70e 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#10	0xd4…5f71 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#11	0xc4…7e0c 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0x42…b33f 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0x07…8d4c 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0xce…0a45 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0xf9…9c4c 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#16	0x4b…b4af 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#17	0xbe…d738 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#18	0xad…ef24 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#19	0xad…1e9f 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#20	0xa2…bb32 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%

Spread: France (-1.5)

Current Odds

Current Odds

Top Traders by Realized PnL

Top Traders by Realized PnL