What is the current probability for "Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?"?

Based on the latest on-chain trades, the current probability is: Yes at 5.0%, No at 95.0%. These odds are derived from the last traded price of each outcome token on Polymarket.

How is this Polymarket question resolved?

Polymarket questions are resolved based on real-world outcomes verified by designated resolution sources. Once resolved, YES token holders receive $1 and NO token holders receive $0 (or vice versa).

What is the 24h trading volume for this Polymarket market?

The 24-hour trading volume for this Polymarket prediction market is $1,883,863 USD, with $802,496 in buy flow and $1,081,367 in sell flow.

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Created at: Jan 11, 2026 23:21Large trades TG Alerts

Current Odds

Live · 24h

95.0%No5.0%Yes

No0.950-$293,408 net

Vol $1.4MBuy $555,196Sell $848,604Share 74.5%

Yes0.050+$14,538 net

Vol $480.06KBuy $247,301Sell $232,763Share 25.5%

■ Buy ■ Sell · % = implied probability · Net = buy − sell (24h)

Volume$1.88MBuy$802.5KSell$1.08M

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Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0x9e…f882 8 buys · 12 sells · 1 condition	$6.28K	+100.00%	+111.47%
#2	0x5e…8ffd 14 buys · 30 sells · 1 condition	$15.26K	+100.00%	+10.89%
#3	0x5e…36b1 18 buys · 3 sells · 1 condition	$480.53	+100.00%	+1.77%
#4	0x5a…fa97 3 buys · 10 sells · 1 condition	$87.6	+100.00%	+0.17%
#5	0x2e…7f53 6 buys · 23 sells · 1 condition	$106.77	+100.00%	+0.16%
#6	0xbe…2ac2 12 buys · 22 sells · 1 condition	$33.41	+100.00%	+0.08%
#7	0x82…6cf6 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#8	0x30…5102 6 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#9	0xc8…f3e1 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#10	0x44…ebc1 9 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#11	0x6b…1292 3 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0xdd…029c 5 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0x9d…1344 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0x43…5db9 5 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0x96…6825 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#16	0x32…b949 7 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#17	0x74…a16d 21 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#18	0x68…876f 3 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#19	0xa2…451a 7 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#20	0x40…1bae 12 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%

Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0x9e…f882 8 buys · 12 sells · 1 condition	$6.28K	+100.00%	+111.47%
#2	0x5e…8ffd 14 buys · 30 sells · 1 condition	$15.26K	+100.00%	+10.89%
#3	0x5e…36b1 18 buys · 3 sells · 1 condition	$480.53	+100.00%	+1.77%
#4	0x5a…fa97 3 buys · 10 sells · 1 condition	$87.6	+100.00%	+0.17%
#5	0x2e…7f53 6 buys · 23 sells · 1 condition	$106.77	+100.00%	+0.16%
#6	0xbe…2ac2 12 buys · 22 sells · 1 condition	$33.41	+100.00%	+0.08%
#7	0x82…6cf6 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#8	0x30…5102 6 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#9	0xc8…f3e1 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#10	0x44…ebc1 9 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#11	0x6b…1292 3 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0xdd…029c 5 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0x9d…1344 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0x43…5db9 5 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0x96…6825 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#16	0x32…b949 7 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#17	0x74…a16d 21 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#18	0x68…876f 3 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#19	0xa2…451a 7 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#20	0x40…1bae 12 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Current Odds

Current Odds

Top Traders by Realized PnL

Top Traders by Realized PnL