Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?"?

Accepted Answer

Based on the latest on-chain trades, the current probability is: Yes at 99.9%, No at 0.1%. These odds are derived from the last traded price of each outcome token on Polymarket.

Question 2

How is this Polymarket question resolved?

Accepted Answer

Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional a

Question 3

What is the 24h trading volume for this Polymarket market?

Accepted Answer

The 24-hour trading volume for this Polymarket prediction market is $1,158,665 USD, with $1,004,091 in buy flow and $154,575 in sell flow.

Current Odds

Top Traders by Realized PnL