What is the current probability for "Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?"?

Based on the latest on-chain trades, the current probability is: No at 0.5%, Yes at 99.6%. These odds are derived from the last traded price of each outcome token on Polymarket.

How is this Polymarket question resolved?

Polymarket questions are resolved based on real-world outcomes verified by designated resolution sources. Once resolved, YES token holders receive $1 and NO token holders receive $0 (or vice versa).

What is the 24h trading volume for this Polymarket market?

The 24-hour trading volume for this Polymarket prediction market is $162,060 USD, with $80,531 in buy flow and $81,529 in sell flow.

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Created at: Jul 24, 2025 21:26

Current Odds

Live · 24h

99.6%Yes0.5%No

Yes0.996-$993 net

Vol $162.05KBuy $80,530Sell $81,522Share 100.0%

No0.005-$6 net

Vol $7.6Buy $1Sell $7Share 0.0%

■ Buy ■ Sell · % = implied probability · Net = buy − sell (24h)

Volume$162.06KBuy$80.53KSell$81.53K

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Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0xe2…0f59 2 buys · 16 sells · 1 condition	$2.43K	+100.00%	+97.20%
#2	0xe3…6e93 1 buys · 2 sells · 1 condition	$134.24	+100.00%	+4.26%
#3	0x23…2b63 1 buys · 3 sells · 1 condition	$0.03	+100.00%	0.00%
#4	0xd1…688f 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#5	0x41…7112 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#6	0x8f…87a7 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#7	0x46…be4b 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#8	0x69…15cd 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#9	0x49…4487 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#10	0x93…5a5f 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#11	0xaf…de01 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0xd8…12e3 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0x24…a04b 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0x3a…8344 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0x91…c7fa 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#16	0x5f…4c24 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#17	0x65…39e2 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#18	0x42…91c4 0 buys · 2 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#19	0x75…4c4c 0 buys · 9 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#20	0xc6…d1d8 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%

Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0xe2…0f59 2 buys · 16 sells · 1 condition	$2.43K	+100.00%	+97.20%
#2	0xe3…6e93 1 buys · 2 sells · 1 condition	$134.24	+100.00%	+4.26%
#3	0x23…2b63 1 buys · 3 sells · 1 condition	$0.03	+100.00%	0.00%
#4	0xd1…688f 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#5	0x41…7112 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#6	0x8f…87a7 2 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#7	0x46…be4b 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#8	0x69…15cd 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#9	0x49…4487 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#10	0x93…5a5f 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#11	0xaf…de01 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0xd8…12e3 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0x24…a04b 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0x3a…8344 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0x91…c7fa 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#16	0x5f…4c24 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#17	0x65…39e2 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#18	0x42…91c4 0 buys · 2 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#19	0x75…4c4c 0 buys · 9 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#20	0xc6…d1d8 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Current Odds

Current Odds

Top Traders by Realized PnL

Top Traders by Realized PnL