Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

Accepted Answer

Based on the latest on-chain trades, the current probability is: Yes at 10.8%, No at 89.1%. These odds are derived from the last traded price of each outcome token on Polymarket.

Question 2

How is this Polymarket question resolved?

Accepted Answer

Polymarket questions are resolved based on real-world outcomes verified by designated resolution sources. Once resolved, YES token holders receive $1 and NO token holders receive $0 (or vice versa).

Question 3

What is the 24h trading volume for this Polymarket market?

Accepted Answer

The 24-hour trading volume for this Polymarket prediction market is $109 USD, with $61 in buy flow and $48 in sell flow.

Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0xad…7868 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#2	0xfb…fa0e 2 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$-0.25	0.00%	-0.70%
#3	0xe2…0f59 2 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$-2.11	0.00%	-0.70%

Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0xad…7868 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#2	0xfb…fa0e 2 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$-0.25	0.00%	-0.70%
#3	0xe2…0f59 2 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$-2.11	0.00%	-0.70%

Current Odds

Current Odds

Top Traders by Realized PnL

Top Traders by Realized PnL