What is the current probability for "Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

Based on the latest on-chain trades, the current probability is: No at 99.1%, Yes at 0.9%. These odds are derived from the last traded price of each outcome token on Polymarket.

How is this Polymarket question resolved?

Polymarket questions are resolved based on real-world outcomes verified by designated resolution sources. Once resolved, YES token holders receive $1 and NO token holders receive $0 (or vice versa).

What is the 24h trading volume for this Polymarket market?

The 24-hour trading volume for this Polymarket prediction market is $18,540 USD, with $7,624 in buy flow and $10,916 in sell flow.

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Created at: Jul 10, 2025 16:58

Current Odds

Live · 24h

99.1%No0.9%Yes

No0.991-$3,255 net

Vol $18.38KBuy $7,562Sell $10,816Share 99.1%

Yes0.009-$37 net

Vol $162.17Buy $62Sell $100Share 0.9%

■ Buy ■ Sell · % = implied probability · Net = buy − sell (24h)

Volume$18.54KBuy$7.62KSell$10.92K

Get API

Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0xe2…0f59 6 buys · 13 sells · 1 condition	$1.38K	+100.00%	+3.13%
#2	0xaa…1539 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.06	+100.00%	+0.13%
#3	0xc8…aee0 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.17	+100.00%	+0.13%
#4	0xd7…d57e 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.1	+100.00%	+0.13%
#5	0x81…e6f5 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.04	+100.00%	+0.13%
#6	0x4c…53ad 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.08	+100.00%	+0.12%
#7	0x35…302d 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.07	+100.00%	+0.12%
#8	0x90…f03f 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.1	+100.00%	+0.12%
#9	0x4f…da8f 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.05	+100.00%	+0.12%
#10	0xa2…2c57 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.09	+100.00%	+0.12%
#11	0x51…86de 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0xf1…c71d 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0x50…58e3 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0xb5…38f1 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0x58…0a4e 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#16	0x05…40ee 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#17	0xb4…eb3c 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#18	0x45…187f 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#19	0xa3…0dbd 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#20	0x10…0b3c 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%

Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0xe2…0f59 6 buys · 13 sells · 1 condition	$1.38K	+100.00%	+3.13%
#2	0xaa…1539 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.06	+100.00%	+0.13%
#3	0xc8…aee0 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.17	+100.00%	+0.13%
#4	0xd7…d57e 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.1	+100.00%	+0.13%
#5	0x81…e6f5 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.04	+100.00%	+0.13%
#6	0x4c…53ad 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.08	+100.00%	+0.12%
#7	0x35…302d 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.07	+100.00%	+0.12%
#8	0x90…f03f 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.1	+100.00%	+0.12%
#9	0x4f…da8f 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.05	+100.00%	+0.12%
#10	0xa2…2c57 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.09	+100.00%	+0.12%
#11	0x51…86de 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0xf1…c71d 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0x50…58e3 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0xb5…38f1 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0x58…0a4e 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#16	0x05…40ee 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#17	0xb4…eb3c 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#18	0x45…187f 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#19	0xa3…0dbd 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#20	0x10…0b3c 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Current Odds

Current Odds

Top Traders by Realized PnL

Top Traders by Realized PnL