What is the current probability for "Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?"?

Based on the latest on-chain trades, the current probability is: No at 98.3%, Yes at 1.7%. These odds are derived from the last traded price of each outcome token on Polymarket.

How is this Polymarket question resolved?

Polymarket questions are resolved based on real-world outcomes verified by designated resolution sources. Once resolved, YES token holders receive $1 and NO token holders receive $0 (or vice versa).

What is the 24h trading volume for this Polymarket market?

The 24-hour trading volume for this Polymarket prediction market is $28,538 USD, with $21,221 in buy flow and $7,316 in sell flow.

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Created at: Aug 7, 2025 14:34

Current Odds

Live · 24h

98.3%No1.7%Yes

No0.983+$13,624 net

Vol $27.95KBuy $20,788Sell $7,163Share 97.9%

Yes0.017+$280 net

Vol $586.74Buy $434Sell $153Share 2.1%

■ Buy ■ Sell · % = implied probability · Net = buy − sell (24h)

Volume$28.54KBuy$21.22KSell$7.32K

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Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0xdc…6ee1 3 buys · 3 sells · 1 condition	$0.04	+100.00%	+0.18%
#2	0xe5…b500 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.009364	+100.00%	+0.04%
#3	0x4b…982e 0 buys · 5 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#4	0x13…5aef 0 buys · 2 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#5	0xb6…4b66 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#6	0x2f…05ff 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#7	0xab…629a 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#8	0xc4…08d6 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#9	0x2d…d045 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#10	0x79…387f 0 buys · 7 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#11	0x73…cc5d 0 buys · 5 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0x23…3015 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0xdb…806e 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0x72…8404 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0x5e…ff9f 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#16	0x9c…4c41 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#17	0xdb…8c04 0 buys · 2 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#18	0xee…89d8 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#19	0xed…3ef0 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#20	0xfd…cc06 0 buys · 2 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%

Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0xdc…6ee1 3 buys · 3 sells · 1 condition	$0.04	+100.00%	+0.18%
#2	0xe5…b500 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.009364	+100.00%	+0.04%
#3	0x4b…982e 0 buys · 5 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#4	0x13…5aef 0 buys · 2 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#5	0xb6…4b66 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#6	0x2f…05ff 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#7	0xab…629a 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#8	0xc4…08d6 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#9	0x2d…d045 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#10	0x79…387f 0 buys · 7 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#11	0x73…cc5d 0 buys · 5 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0x23…3015 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0xdb…806e 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0x72…8404 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0x5e…ff9f 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#16	0x9c…4c41 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#17	0xdb…8c04 0 buys · 2 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#18	0xee…89d8 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#19	0xed…3ef0 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#20	0xfd…cc06 0 buys · 2 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Current Odds

Current Odds

Top Traders by Realized PnL

Top Traders by Realized PnL