What is the current probability for "Trump out as President by April 30?"?

Based on the latest on-chain trades, the current probability is: No at 99.8%, Yes at 0.1%. These odds are derived from the last traded price of each outcome token on Polymarket.

How is this Polymarket question resolved?

Polymarket questions are resolved based on real-world outcomes verified by designated resolution sources. Once resolved, YES token holders receive $1 and NO token holders receive $0 (or vice versa).

What is the 24h trading volume for this Polymarket market?

The 24-hour trading volume for this Polymarket prediction market is $74,035 USD, with $38,600 in buy flow and $35,435 in sell flow.

Trump out as President by April 30?

Created at: Mar 26, 2026 18:46

Current Odds

Live · 24h

99.8%No0.1%Yes

No0.998+$3,140 net

Vol $73.97KBuy $38,553Sell $35,412Share 99.9%

Yes0.001+$24 net

Vol $70.02Buy $47Sell $23Share 0.1%

■ Buy ■ Sell · % = implied probability · Net = buy − sell (24h)

Volume$74.04KBuy$38.6KSell$35.44K

Get API

Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0x21…b694 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.57	+100.00%	0.00%
#2	0xd9…4e8f 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.54	+100.00%	0.00%
#3	0x22…9299 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.54	+100.00%	0.00%
#4	0x3c…c975 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.54	+100.00%	0.00%
#5	0x68…78c9 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.53	+100.00%	0.00%
#6	0xb8…bf3c 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.53	+100.00%	0.00%
#7	0xb1…c739 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.53	+100.00%	0.00%
#8	0x14…075d 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#9	0x4d…dafe 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#10	0xe3…c832 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#11	0xd9…9485 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0xd0…6719 0 buys · 2 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0x45…4f1b 0 buys · 3 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0xd5…db37 0 buys · 12 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0xe1…996b 3 buys · 8 sells · 1 condition	$-228.18	0.00%	-0.89%

Rank	Trader	Realized (USD)	Win %	PnL %
#1	0x21…b694 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.57	+100.00%	0.00%
#2	0xd9…4e8f 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.54	+100.00%	0.00%
#3	0x22…9299 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.54	+100.00%	0.00%
#4	0x3c…c975 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.54	+100.00%	0.00%
#5	0x68…78c9 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.53	+100.00%	0.00%
#6	0xb8…bf3c 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.53	+100.00%	0.00%
#7	0xb1…c739 1 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	$0.53	+100.00%	0.00%
#8	0x14…075d 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#9	0x4d…dafe 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#10	0xe3…c832 0 buys · 1 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#11	0xd9…9485 1 buys · 0 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#12	0xd0…6719 0 buys · 2 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#13	0x45…4f1b 0 buys · 3 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#14	0xd5…db37 0 buys · 12 sells · 1 condition	-	—	0.00%
#15	0xe1…996b 3 buys · 8 sells · 1 condition	$-228.18	0.00%	-0.89%

Trump out as President by April 30?

Current Odds

Current Odds

Top Traders by Realized PnL

Top Traders by Realized PnL