US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Question 1

What is the current probability for "US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

Based on the latest on-chain trades, the current probability is: Yes at 16.0%, No at 85.0%. These odds are derived from the last traded price of each outcome token on Polymarket.

Question 2

How is this Polymarket question resolved?

Accepted Answer

Polymarket questions are resolved based on real-world outcomes verified by designated resolution sources. Once resolved, YES token holders receive $1 and NO token holders receive $0 (or vice versa).

Question 3

What is the 24h trading volume for this Polymarket market?

Accepted Answer

The 24-hour trading volume for this Polymarket prediction market is $2,003,368 USD, with $1,079,169 in buy flow and $924,199 in sell flow.

Current Odds

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