Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?"?

Accepted Answer

Based on the latest on-chain trades, the current probability is: Yes at 0.1%, No at 99.9%. These odds are derived from the last traded price of each outcome token on Polymarket.

Question 2

How is this Polymarket question resolved?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from u

Question 3

What is the 24h trading volume for this Polymarket market?

Accepted Answer

The 24-hour trading volume for this Polymarket prediction market is $1,230,606 USD, with $920,837 in buy flow and $309,769 in sell flow.

Current Odds

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