US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Question 1

What is the current probability for "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

Based on the latest on-chain trades, the current probability is: Yes at 0.1%, No at 99.9%. These odds are derived from the last traded price of each outcome token on Polymarket.

Question 2

How is this Polymarket question resolved?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy rega

Question 3

What is the 24h trading volume for this Polymarket market?

Accepted Answer

The 24-hour trading volume for this Polymarket prediction market is $72,988 USD, with $41,242 in buy flow and $31,746 in sell flow.

Current Odds

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